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Impala Real Estate

The supply tracker

The UAE off-plan market, measured.

Portals list what is for sale. This page tracks what the market is doing — computed from 2,239 projects we follow daily: what launched, what sold out, what prices open at, and when the homes actually arrive. Figures update with every data refresh; checked 21 Oct 2026.

Selling now
1,313
Tracked
2,239
Median from-price
AED 1,683,100
No longer selling
920
Avg booking
18%
Post-handover plans
14%

The ledger: 2,239 tracked = 1,313 selling now + 6 announced with pricing to come + 920 no longer selling. "No longer selling" means the developer's inventory shows zero available units — fully sold, or withdrawn from open sale.

Project movement since 18 Sept 2026

Whole projects entering, leaving or returning to the market — not individual unit sales.

No longer selling

71 projects

Their developers' inventories dropped to zero available units — sold out, or withdrawn from open sale. Either way: supply that left the market.

The math: on 18 Sept 2026, 899 projects were no longer selling. Since then 71 left the market, 55 returned to sale, and 5 newly tracked projects arrived already closed — 899 + 71 − 55 + 5 = 920 today.

What the series says

Differences between dated snapshots of our own catalogue, with the dates and sample sizes attached. These are measurements of what changed, not predictions of what happens next — we publish the arithmetic and leave the forecasting to people who are paid to be wrong about it.

Projects on sale

+138 projects in 77 days

Since 5 Aug 2026, when the catalogue reached roughly its present size (2,065 tracked), the count of projects selling has moved from 1,175 to 1,313 — +11.7% across 17 snapshots. Measured back to the first snapshot the figure is +1,278, but tracked coverage also went from 35 projects to 2,239 over those 176 days: that number is mostly us loading more of the market, not the market adding that much supply.

Median from-price

+1.1% since 5 Aug 2026

AED 1,665,000 on 5 Aug 2026 against AED 1,683,100 today, across 17 snapshots of a catalogue that stayed the same size. Against the first snapshot the median reads −58.9%, and that comparison is not about prices: it sets 35 projects beside 2,239. Medians run across each project's published entry price, so the figure also moves when the mix of what is launching moves.

Arrivals against departures

1.28× over 33 days

In the 33 days since 18 Sept 2026, 91 projects came to market and 71 stopped selling — 1.28 arriving for every one leaving, a difference of +20 projects. A further 55 returned to sale in the same window, so the change in the selling total is not simply that difference. Whole projects, not individual units.

Handover pipeline

2027 is the fattest year

1,119 of the 1,313 selling projects publish a scheduled handover year. Of those, 380 (34%) are dated 2027; 559 (50%) land in 2026 or 2027, and 560 (50%) sit in 2028 or beyond. The other 194 selling projects carry no published date yet. Dates are the developers' own and move.

What this block deliberately does not do: draw a line through 21 snapshots and call it a direction. The record below has a 95-day hole in it (1 May 2026 to 4 Aug 2026) and a catalogue that grew underneath it. Deltas are what the data supports; anything further would be an opinion wearing a number's clothes.

Where the supply is

EmirateSellingMedian from-price
Dubai941AED 1,696,672
Abu Dhabi107AED 3,100,000
Ras al-Khaimah69AED 2,200,000
Sharjah39AED 1,665,000
Ajman27AED 866,420
Umm al-Quwain16AED 1,412,986
Fujairah1AED 521,522

Busiest districts

DistrictSellingMedian from-price
JVC (Jumeirah Village Circle) · Dubai95AED 1,199,999
Dubai Islands · Dubai71AED 2,463,750
Dubailand Residence Complex · Dubai48AED 829,841
Business Bay · Dubai46AED 2,837,140
Al Marjan Island · Ras al-Khaimah43AED 2,696,267
Dubai South · Dubai37AED 1,104,317
JVT (Jumeirah Village Triangle) · Dubai28AED 1,147,000
Al Reem Island · Abu Dhabi27AED 2,200,000
Dubai International City · Dubai26AED 775,444
Al Satwa · Dubai24AED 1,503,243
Arjan · Dubai21AED 998,824
Majan · Dubai19AED 1,102,000
Yas Island · Abu Dhabi18AED 3,748,121
Meydan (Nad Al Sheba 1) · Dubai17AED 1,601,829
Jebel Ali Village · Dubai17AED 1,810,000

When the homes arrive

2026179
2027380
2028309
2029197
203047
20317

Selling projects by scheduled handover year — each year has its own page in the handover hubs.

Most active developers

The record

SnapshotSellingMedian from-price
28 Apr 202635AED 4,100,000
30 Apr 202641AED 3,784,888
1 May 202644AED 3,406,500
4 Aug 20261,098AED 1,666,333
5 Aug 20261,175AED 1,665,000
18 Aug 20261,187AED 1,658,727
5 Sept 20261,234AED 1,670,000
6 Sept 20261,234AED 1,670,000
7 Sept 20261,236AED 1,678,950
8 Sept 20261,238AED 1,678,950
9 Sept 20261,239AED 1,680,000
10 Sept 20261,240AED 1,682,944
11 Sept 20261,243AED 1,689,839
12 Sept 20261,244AED 1,690,292
13 Sept 20261,244AED 1,690,292
14 Sept 20261,240AED 1,688,920
15 Sept 20261,236AED 1,690,292
16 Sept 20261,252AED 1,692,220
18 Sept 20261,243AED 1,688,000
23 Sept 20261,271AED 1,680,000
21 Oct 20261,313AED 1,683,100

Method

Aggregated from the 2,239 off-plan projects Impala Real Estate tracks across the UAE, refreshed daily from developer-level data. "From-price" is each project's published entry price; medians are taken across projects, not units. Movement compares dated snapshots of the whole catalogue: 21 of them between 28 Apr 2026 and 21 Oct 2026, which is a record rather than a continuous daily series — the longest gap runs 95 days, from 1 May 2026 to 4 Aug 2026. Coverage grew across that span too, from 35 tracked projects to 2,239, so the earliest rows describe a smaller catalogue and not a smaller market; comparisons drawn back to them measure us, not the UAE. Figures are project-level aggregates; unit-level pricing is available to clients through our advisors.

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